Read Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty by Herbert I. Weisberg Free Online


Ebook Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty by Herbert I. Weisberg read! Book Title: Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty
The author of the book: Herbert I. Weisberg
ISBN 13: 9781118593790
Language: English
Edition: Wiley
Date of issue: June 23rd 2014
ISBN: 1118593790
Format files: PDF
The size of the: 911 KB
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Reader ratings: 4.1

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An original account of willful ignorance and how this principle relates to modern probability and statistical methods

Through a series of colorful stories about great thinkers and the problems they chose to solve, the author traces the historical evolution of probability and explains how statistical methods have helped to propel scientific research. However, the past success of statistics has depended on vast, deliberate simplifications amounting to willful ignorance, and this very success now threatens future advances in medicine, the social sciences, and other fields. Limitations of existing methods result in frequent reversals of scientific findings and recommendations, to the consternation of both scientists and the lay public.

"Willful Ignorance" "The Mismeasure of Uncertainty" exposes the fallacy of regarding probability as the full measure of our uncertainty. The book explains how statistical methodology, though enormously productive and influential over the past century, is approaching a crisis. The deep and troubling divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research, and between research and practice, are reflections of this underlying problem. The author outlines a path toward the re-engineering of data analysis to help close these gaps and accelerate scientific discovery.

"Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty "presents essential information and novel ideas that should be of interest to anyone concerned about the future of scientific research. The book is especially pertinent for professionals in statistics and related fields, including practicing and research clinicians, biomedical and social science researchers, business leaders, and policy-makers.


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Read information about the author

Ebook Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty read Online! Herbert I. Weisberg is President of CAUSALYTICS, LLC. His nearly life-long fascination with statistics was ignited when he opened his first pack of bubble gum and noticed the data printed on the back of each baseball card it contained. His recent work involves developing innovative approaches to predictive analytics. Previous research in the areas of causal inference, early childhood education and insurance fraud have received wide recognition. Herb has conducted numerous influential studies on research methodology and applications of statistics. He is a co-author of Statistical Methods for Comparative Studies, and author of the award-winning Bias and Causation. He has written Willful Ignorance to provide a much-needed historical and philosophical account of how the concept of probability originally evolved and now needs to adapt to emerging realities. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association.



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